MathematicsExam code: 0580

Scatter Graphs and Correlation

Statistics

The three types

  • Correlation describes whether the two quantities tend to change together, and in which direction
  • Positive correlation: both quantities rise together, and the points climb as you read left to right
    • Temperature and the number of cold drinks sold
A scatter diagram showing positive correlation: the crosses climb from the bottom left towards the top right, loosely following a rising trend
Source: Correlation by Save My Exams
  • Negative correlation: one rises while the other falls, and the points descend as you read left to right
    • The age of a car and its value
A scatter diagram showing negative correlation: the crosses fall from the top left towards the bottom right, so one quantity decreases as the other increases
Source: Correlation by Save My Exams
  • Zero correlation: no relationship, and the points form a shapeless cloud
A scatter diagram showing no correlation: the crosses are scattered across the whole grid with no upward or downward trend to them
Source: Correlation by Save My Exams
  • Correlation can also be described as strong or weak, according to how closely the points cluster around a straight line

Describing it in context

  • The standard question asks what type of correlation the diagram shows, for one mark, and the answer is one of those three phrases
  • A follow-up may ask you to describe the relationship, which needs the two quantities named rather than just the word
    • "As the temperature increases, the number of people on the beach increases"
  • Correlation does not prove that one quantity causes the other: both may be driven by something else entirely, and the syllabus asks you to appreciate such restrictions on drawing conclusions

Worked example

Naming and describing correlation

A scatter diagram plots the age of a car in years against its value in pounds. The points fall from the top left towards the bottom right. Name the correlation and describe what it means.

A scatter diagram with age in years from 0 to 10 along the bottom and value in pounds from 0 to 20 000 up the side. Ten crosses fall from the top left, near 17 500 pounds at 1 year, to the bottom right, near 4500 pounds at 9 years. No line is drawn.

Solution:

  • The points descend as you read from left to right, so as one quantity rises the other falls
  • The type is negative correlation
  • Naming it is one mark; describing it is a separate demand and needs both quantities named
  • In context: as the age of a car increases, its value decreases
  • "The points go down" is not a description, because it names neither quantity
  • Note that this shows a relationship only: correlation on its own never establishes that age causes the fall in value

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